Rate snapshot
| Fed funds target | 3.75% to 4.00% | Raised 25 bps on Sep 16, 2026, unanimous vote |
| 2-year Treasury | 4.74% | Sep 16, 2026; up 31 bps from 4.43% on Sep 9 |
| 5-year Treasury | 4.86% | Sep 16, 2026; up 25 bps from 4.61% on Sep 9 |
| 10-year Treasury | 5.01% | Sep 16, 2026; up 18 bps from 4.83% on Sep 9 |
| SOFR | 3.64% | Sep 15, 2026, before the new range took effect on Sep 17 |
| Bank CRE lending standards | Modest easing | July 2026 SLOOS: net shares of banks eased standards on nonfarm nonresidential and multifamily loans in Q2 |
The Fed raised its target range to 3.75% to 4.00% on September 16, and the 10-year Treasury closed at 5.01% the same day. Banks had been easing commercial real estate standards at the margin, according to the Fed’s July survey of senior loan officers. Loan pricing is now moving the other way.
When rates climb, a sponsor often learns that the loan amount in the LOI was never really about LTV. Three tests set every commercial loan: loan-to-value, debt service coverage, and debt yield. The lender runs all three and lends the smallest answer.
Which test binds depends on the lender type, the rate, and how the lender rewrites your NOI. Below we take one industrial acquisition and size it three ways, then show which inputs move proceeds and which do not.
Three tests, three formulas
| Test | Maximum loan | What it protects the lender against | Moves with interest rates? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loan-to-value (LTV) | Value x maximum LTV | Loss of collateral value on a sale or foreclosure | No, except through appraised cap rates |
| Debt service coverage (DSCR) | NOI / minimum DSCR / annual loan constant | Cash flow falling short of the mortgage payment | Yes, through the note rate and amortization |
| Debt yield | NOI / minimum debt yield | A loan too large relative to income, regardless of rate or amortization | No |
The loan constant is the annual payment per dollar of loan. It rises with the note rate and falls with longer amortization, which is why a 30-year amortization or an interest-only period can add proceeds on a DSCR-constrained deal. Debt yield ignores both, which is why lenders that worry about rate volatility or exit risk use it.
Value is not always the appraisal. For bank loans to purchase an existing property, the federal Interagency Guidelines for Real Estate Lending define value as the lesser of actual acquisition cost or the estimate of value. Those same guidelines set a supervisory LTV limit of 85% for improved property, but most lenders’ internal policies sit well below it. Published agency programs illustrate the pairing: Fannie Mae’s conventional multifamily term sheet lists a maximum LTV of 80% and a minimum DSCR of 1.25x.
The deal: a $14.25M small-bay industrial acquisition
A sponsor is buying a 118,000 SF multi-tenant industrial property at $14,250,000. Leases are triple net with base rent averaging $9.40 per SF. The broker package shows a 7.03% cap rate on in-place NOI.
Step 1: the lender rewrites the NOI
No lender sizes on broker NOI. Underwriters apply a market vacancy factor, charge a management fee even if the sponsor self-manages, and deduct reserves for roof, paving, tenant improvements, and leasing commissions.
| Line item | Broker package | Lender underwriting |
|---|---|---|
| Base rent (118,000 SF x $9.40) | $1,109,200 | $1,109,200 |
| Expense reimbursements | $285,000 | $285,000 |
| Potential gross income | $1,394,200 | $1,394,200 |
| Vacancy and credit loss (3% vs. 6%) | -$41,826 | -$83,652 |
| Effective gross income | $1,352,374 | $1,310,548 |
| Operating expenses | -$350,000 | -$350,000 |
| Management fee (2.5% of EGI) | $0 | -$32,764 |
| Replacement reserves ($0.15/SF) | $0 | -$17,700 |
| TI and leasing commission reserves ($0.30/SF) | $0 | -$35,400 |
| Net operating income | $1,002,374 | $874,684 |
| Cap rate on purchase price | 7.03% | 6.14% |
Underwritten NOI is 12.7% below the broker number. That haircut flows straight into the DSCR and debt yield tests. It does not touch the LTV test, which uses the price.
Step 2: size the same deal with three lender profiles
The lender terms below are illustrative profiles built for this example, not quotes. Each index is the rate published for this week: the 5-year and 10-year Treasury on September 16 and SOFR on September 15.
| Sizing line | Regional bank | Life company | Debt fund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structure | 5-year fixed | 10-year fixed | Floating, interest-only |
| Index + spread | 4.86% + 2.10% | 5.01% + 1.45% | 3.64% + 3.25% |
| Note rate | 6.96% | 6.46% | 6.89% |
| Amortization | 25 years | 30 years | None |
| Loan constant | 8.45% | 7.55% | 6.89% |
| Limits (LTV / DSCR / debt yield) | 70% / 1.25x / none | 55% / 1.30x / 10.0% | 70% / 1.15x / 9.5% |
| LTV test | $9,975,000 | $7,837,500 | $9,975,000 |
| DSCR test | $8,280,296 | $8,907,844 | $11,039,115 |
| Debt yield test | n/a | $8,746,843 | $9,207,203 |
| Loan amount | $8,280,296 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| Binding test | DSCR | LTV | Debt yield |
| Resulting LTV | 58.1% | 55.0% | 64.6% |
| Resulting DSCR | 1.25x | 1.48x | 1.38x |
| Resulting debt yield | 10.56% | 11.16% | 9.50% |
| Annual debt service | $699,747 | $591,988 | $634,376 |
| Equity before closing costs | $5,969,704 | $6,412,500 | $5,042,797 |
Same building, same NOI, and the proceeds range spans $1,369,703. Each lender is capped by a different test. The bank quote advertised at 70% LTV lands at 58.1% because coverage binds first at a 6.96% note rate. The life company is limited by its own conservative LTV and has coverage to spare. The debt fund offers the most proceeds, but its debt yield floor caps the loan well short of 70%.
Step 3: what happens when rates move
| Index move | Regional bank | Life company | Debt fund |
|---|---|---|---|
| Down 100 bps | $9,084,913 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| Down 50 bps | $8,668,267 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| Base case | $8,280,296 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| Up 50 bps | $7,918,655 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| Up 100 bps | $7,581,213 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
Only the DSCR-bound loan responds. A 50 bp rise costs the bank execution $361,641 of proceeds. The other two do not change within a 100 bp band because their binding tests ignore the rate.
That stability has limits. The bank loan would shift to LTV-bound only if its note rate fell to about 5.00%. The life company loan becomes DSCR-bound above a 7.74% note rate. The debt fund’s 1.15x coverage test would bind above an 8.26% underwriting rate, and floating-rate lenders often underwrite coverage at a higher rate than the day-one coupon, which pulls that crossover closer.
Step 4: what happens when NOI moves
| Underwritten NOI | Regional bank | Life company | Debt fund |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90% ($787,216) | $7,452,266 | $7,837,500 | $8,286,483 |
| 95% ($830,950) | $7,866,281 | $7,837,500 | $8,746,843 |
| 100% ($874,684) | $8,280,296 | $7,837,500 | $9,207,203 |
| 105% ($918,419) | $8,694,310 | $7,837,500 | $9,667,563 |
Here the pattern reverses. The debt fund and bank loans move almost dollar for dollar with NOI, and a 10% NOI miss cuts the debt fund loan by $920,720. The LTV-bound life company loan does not move until underwritten NOI falls below $783,750, where its 10% debt yield floor takes over.
Had each lender sized on the broker’s $1,002,374 NOI, the bank loan would have been $9,489,084 and the debt fund loan $9,975,000. Those are gaps of $1,208,789 and $767,797 that appear late in underwriting if the sponsor models on the broker number.
Simplifications: lender profiles, spreads, NOI adjustments, and reserves are illustrative, not quotes or QuadBlock terms. Payments are monthly; the bank and life company loans amortize fully over the stated schedule, and the debt fund loan is sized at its day-one rate with no rate cap cost. SOFR is shown as of September 15, before the rate hike took effect. Closing costs, lender fees, and required reserves are excluded from equity.
Match the lever to the binding test
| If this test binds | Levers that add proceeds | Levers that do nothing |
|---|---|---|
| LTV | A lender with a higher LTV limit; an appraisal above price on a refinance | Lower rate, longer amortization, interest-only |
| DSCR | Lower rate or a rate buydown, longer amortization, interest-only period, better-supported NOI | Higher appraisal |
| Debt yield | Higher underwritten NOI, or a smaller senior loan paired with preferred equity or mezzanine debt | Rate, amortization, appraisal |
Before you send the deal: a sizing checklist
- Rebuild NOI the way a lender will: market vacancy, a management fee, replacement reserves, and TI/LC reserves on multi-tenant assets.
- Run all three tests yourself for each lender quote and circle the smallest number.
- Ask each lender for its full sizing grid: LTV, DSCR, debt yield, amortization, and the rate used to test coverage.
- For floating-rate debt, confirm whether coverage is tested at the current coupon, the cap strike, or a stressed rate.
- On acquisitions, assume value is the purchase price unless the lender confirms otherwise in writing.
- Run a 50 bp rate move and a 10% NOI haircut before signing a purchase agreement with a hard deposit.
- Compare quotes on equity required and debt service, not on the headline LTV.
Red flags in a loan quote
- A maximum LTV with no DSCR or debt yield limit disclosed.
- Proceeds quoted before the lender has seen the rent roll and operating statements.
- Coverage tested on interest-only payments with no disclosure of the amortizing constant.
- An underwriting rate or index floor buried in the term sheet footnotes.
- Loan amount language such as “up to,” with no stated sizing basis.
How QuadBlock can help
QuadBlock Capital provides bridge, transitional, and permanent financing from $250K to $30M on industrial, multifamily, retail, self-storage, and specialty assets. We size deals on all three tests up front so sponsors know the real number before they go hard. Send your deal at quadblockcapital.com.
This article is for general educational purposes and is not tax, legal, or investment advice. Loan sizing depends on each lender’s policies, the property, and the borrower; figures in the worked example are illustrative and do not represent a quote or commitment from QuadBlock Capital or any other lender.
Sources
- Federal Reserve, FOMC statement, September 16, 2026
- U.S. Treasury, Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates, September 2026
- FRED, Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)
- Federal Reserve, July 2026 Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending Practices
- eCFR, 12 CFR Part 34 Subpart D and Appendix A, Interagency Guidelines for Real Estate Lending
- Fannie Mae Multifamily, Conventional Properties Term Sheet